Alert Details Alert Sent
Message 47ef07cf-4290-4f45-bd12-6633b0f72c2f from ABMS_Met_Office sent at 21:39:38 on 2023-10-01
Status / Scope / Type Actual / Public / Alert
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Info
Language
EN
Alert summary
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
Effective
21:39:38 2023-10-01
Starts at
21:41:06 2023-10-01
Expires
21:41:06 2023-10-02
Description
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE, IN THIS CASE, IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
PHILIPPE IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA; HENCE, IT POSES AN ELEVATED THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE LIMITED IMPACTS FROM STORM-FORCE WINDS, EXTENSIVE MARINE IMPACTS FROM HAZARDOUS SEAS AND MODERATE FLOODING, RESULTING IN LIFE-THREATENING CONDITIONS. TO BE SAFE, RESIDENTS SHOULD START TO IMPLEMENT THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS FOR A TROPICAL STORM.
AT 5 PM ECT OR 2100 UTC, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 59.0 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND 205 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBUDA.
PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWARD MOTION ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND PHILIPPE COULD BEGIN TO INTENSIFY MORE SIGNIFICANTLY AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES, MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRE.
FORECASTING PHILIPPE REMAINS QUITE CHALLENGING. HOWEVER, BASED ON THE BEST AVAILABLE DATA AND ANALYSES, THE STORM WILL POSSIBLY BRING STORM CONDITIONS TO THE ISLANDS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT THESE POSSIBLE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING. IF THESE STORM CONDITIONS ARRIVE, THEY WILL BE OVER BY TUESDAY MORNING.
ALTHOUGH IT IS ONLY A POSSIBILITY OF MINIMAL STORM CONDITIONS, PHILIPPE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGE AND DISRUPTION TO TRAVEL – THE COUNTRY MAY HAVE TO CLOSE BRIEFLY. DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION, THE WATCH MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER TODAY.
LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE THE WORST IMPACTS ARE BARBUDA, COASTAL AREAS AND EXPOSED HIGH-ELEVATIONS.
Instructions
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR PHILIPPE AND TO START TO IMPLEMENT THEIR PLANS FOR A TROPICAL STORM. THE SYSTEM POSES A LIMITED THREAT TO THE ISLANDS WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE LOSS OF LIFE, PROPERTY AND LIVELIHOOD.
Contact
ABMS Met Office at 462-3017, if confirmation of this message is needed.
Category
Transport
Safety
Rescue
Met
Affected areas
Antigua
Barbuda
Urgency / Severity / Certainty
Future / Moderate / Possible
Sent by
Dale Destin
Event code(s)
SAME = CEM
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